Market overview
The desktop-manufacturing market as a whole — what it is telling us, where prices and conversion sit, and how the index is spread.
The marketplace connector is only partly current
Marketplace listings: 523 of 1,059 (49%) refreshed within 7 days. The middle record is 13 days old.
41 h old · 1,059 rows · 366 ms
Median asking price
The price listings ask, at the median. Measured from the listing itself. The middle half is the 25th to 75th percentile — where most of the market prices, with the tails cut off.$22
middle half $8–$64
Price range
Interquartile range of asking prices. Deliberately not min–max: one $12,000 file bundle in the sample would make a min–max range meaningless.$8 – $64
25th–75th percentile
Median conversion
Views-to-orders rate as the source estimates it, at the median. A vendor model, not a measured funnel. The top-decile figure is what good looks like in this segment.est2.57%
top 10% clear 16.92%
Sellers
Distinct shops among the listings we hold. A sample count, not the marketplace's seller total.763
distinct shops in the sample
Verified reviews
Sum of verified-buyer reviews across the sample. A review requires a purchase, which makes this the only figure on the page that is evidence of money changing hands.44,382
buyer reviews — the only transaction evidence
Listings held
How many listings every other figure on this page is computed over. When the marketplace reports a total for the tracked terms, it is shown so the sampling ratio is visible.1,057
of ~570,603 on etsy for tracked terms
How to read these
Sample drawn as "mixed: 24 of 26 terms drawn as est_mo_revenue desc", so it over-represents whatever that sort favours. Conversion rate is reported for 573 of 1,057 listings; the median is over those. 48% of listings carry no physical/digital flag — some revenue here may be file downloads, not printed goods. Monthly sales and revenue are vendor estimates. Reviews are the only measured transaction evidence. 779 of 1,059 listings are classified as printed products; 245 digital files and 2 off-segment items are counted but excluded from product figures.
Where the market is, by design type
Share of product listings against share of estimated sales, per segment
779 of 1,059 listings are printed products and enter these figures. Set aside: 245 digital files, 2 apparel or beauty items that reached the search by accident, 0 print services, 33 unclassified. 33% of products carry no physical/digital label from the source; digital ones are inferred from titles.
What the segments say
Which design types sell better, which are crowded, and what would change the answer
1,059 listings: 779 (74%) are printed products in 18 segments; 245 are digital files, 2 are apparel or beauty items that reached the search by accident, 0 are custom-print services and 33 could not be placed.
The biggest segments by listings are desk & tech accessories (26%), organization & storage (19%), tabletop & gaming (5%).
By estimated sales the order is desk & tech accessories (27%), organization & storage (20%), kitchen, bakeware & party (12%) — a vendor estimate, not a sales record.
Per listing, keychains, jewelry & wearables and pet accessories and planters & garden sell above the market median of 11/month.
Home decor & art, Keychains, jewelry & wearables, Kitchen, bakeware & party, Parts, tools & functional, Toys & fidgets carry more of the estimated sales than of the listings.
The median printed product asks $34.99; 42,387 verified reviews across products are the only transaction evidence here.
33% of product listings carry no physical/digital label from the source; digital ones were inferred from their titles.
- Sells bettermedium confidence
Keychains, jewelry & wearables listings sell 2.1× the market median
Median estimated sales of 23/month across 34 listings, against 11/month for the corpus. Vendor estimates; 1,538 verified reviews sit behind them.
Falsified by: A later capture where this segment's median estimate falls under 1.5× the market median, or a review-rate comparison that does not show the same lift.
- Sells bettermedium confidence
Pet accessories listings sell 2.1× the market median
Median estimated sales of 23/month across 8 listings, against 11/month for the corpus. Vendor estimates; 368 verified reviews sit behind them.
Falsified by: A later capture where this segment's median estimate falls under 1.5× the market median, or a review-rate comparison that does not show the same lift.
- Sells bettermedium confidence
Planters & garden listings sell 2.0× the market median
Median estimated sales of 22/month across 18 listings, against 11/month for the corpus. Vendor estimates; 529 verified reviews sit behind them.
Falsified by: A later capture where this segment's median estimate falls under 1.5× the market median, or a review-rate comparison that does not show the same lift.
- Under-servedmedium confidence
Home decor & art is under-served: 5% of estimated sales from 2% of listings
23 listings carry 5% of estimated sales — 2.1× their share of supply.
Falsified by: New listings entering until the segment's listing share matches its sales share, or a later capture showing the sales share was one shop's.
- Under-servedmedium confidence
Keychains, jewelry & wearables is under-served: 11% of estimated sales from 3% of listings
34 listings carry 11% of estimated sales — 3.6× their share of supply.
Falsified by: New listings entering until the segment's listing share matches its sales share, or a later capture showing the sales share was one shop's.
- Under-servedmedium confidence
Kitchen, bakeware & party is under-served: 12% of estimated sales from 2% of listings
23 listings carry 12% of estimated sales — 5.7× their share of supply.
Falsified by: New listings entering until the segment's listing share matches its sales share, or a later capture showing the sales share was one shop's.
16 more signals in the table view.
Amazon, over time
the category as it really is — most titles never say how a thing was made · 2025-08-15 → 2026-09-05
Median buy-box price
The median price a buyer pays across the Amazon products we hold, per day, from Keepa's own history. Forward-filled between recorded changes, because Keepa emits a point only when the price moves.$20
median of 425 ASINs
Median offers
Competing new offers on the median product. Rising offer counts are sellers arriving; this is the closest thing here to a crowding signal.2
median of 225 ASINs
Median rating
Star rating on the median product, as Keepa records it. A market whose ratings are falling is one where buyers are being disappointed — an opening for a better-made version.4.5
median of 336 ASINs
Categories by opportunity
Click a category to open everything inside it, ranked.
3D Printer Parts & Upgrades
Previews by Jwhiskey3D, Filboyt, dpetsel +1
- Designs
- 64
- Downloads
- 12.6M
- Avg design score
- 60
79 sellable · 40 not for sale
Mechanical Parts & Fittings
Previews by droftarts, emmett, Prot0typ1cal +1
- Designs
- 26
- Downloads
- 4.8M
- Avg design score
- 58
55 sellable · 39 not for sale
Gaming & Tabletop
Previews by BigBadBison, Dakanzla, Dakanzla +1
- Designs
- 22
- Downloads
- 2.8M
- Avg design score
- 56
66 sellable · 60 not for sale
Home & Garden
Previews by eggnot, parallelgoods, SchulteGeileTechnik +1
- Designs
- 28
- Downloads
- 5.8M
- Avg design score
- 56
92 sellable · 76 not for sale
Art, Decor & Lighting
Previews by makkuro, BigBadBison, amaochan +1
- Designs
- 41
- Downloads
- 7.1M
- Avg design score
- 55
72 sellable · 91 not for sale
Automotive & Moto
Previews by m_bergman, agepbiz, ri3del +1
- Designs
- 13
- Downloads
- 1.9M
- Avg design score
- 55
48 sellable · 31 not for sale
Toys, Figurines & Fidgets
Previews by McGybeer, Byambaa, sneakypoo +1
- Designs
- 33
- Downloads
- 13.8M
- Avg design score
- 55
106 sellable · 132 not for sale
Kitchen & Dining
Previews by iomaa, aleiovanevcp, bwaslo +1
- Designs
- 23
- Downloads
- 1.8M
- Avg design score
- 54
59 sellable · 113 not for sale
Outdoor & Sport
Previews by swholmstead, FiveNights, heinzdrei +1
- Designs
- 4
- Downloads
- 664.6K
- Avg design score
- 54
78 sellable · 58 not for sale
Desk & Cable Organization
Previews by HeyVye, MakerBot, philnelson +1
- Designs
- 18
- Downloads
- 9.5M
- Avg design score
- 53
120 sellable · 114 not for sale
Ergonomic & Health
Previews by blackhearttoy, foxpup, middeus +1
- Designs
- 4
- Downloads
- 38.8K
- Avg design score
- 53
8 sellable · 4 not for sale
Workshop & Tool Storage
Previews by Mojoptix, adoniram, mightynozzle +1
- Designs
- 5
- Downloads
- 7.9M
- Avg design score
- 53
143 sellable · 111 not for sale
Pet Products
no previews captured yet
- Designs
- —
- Downloads
- 764.7K
- Avg design score
- unscored
118 sellable · 73 not for sale
Do downloads predict sales?
One point per concept carrying both legs · sales counted only where the listing title carries the concept
- Concepts
- 11
- Correlation
- 0.584
- Needs
- ≥ 0.576
- for p < 0.05
A tenfold rise in downloads goes with about 3.57x the sales.Why
r = 0.584 across 11 concepts, clearing the p < 0.05 threshold of 0.576. The per-concept ratio still spans a factor of 23, so this is a tendency across concepts, not a multiplier to apply to one of them.
Index activity over time
Every captured design summed per capture date — switch the counter from the chart
38.4M → 25.3M (-34.2%) over 19 days. Actual downloads, cumulative as reported by the source. The axis starts at the lowest capture, not at zero.
Rises when demand rises and when the crawl ingests more designs; the two are not separated here. The index's own history, not the market's. A make is someone who printed it — closer to intent than a download.
What the data says
Findings by kind, and the segment-level ones in full
8
0
0
0
0
0
Nothing in the current corpus clears the evidence bar for a segment-level finding. Every detector declined rather than lowering its threshold.
Where the index sits
Designs per category; colour is the share with a licence that permits selling
A long grey bar is a big category an operator mostly cannot sell from.
Where prices sit
Asking price across marketplace listings we hold
Fixed bands so two captures compare. Everything over $120 shares one bar so a single file bundle cannot stretch the axis.
Where conversion sits
Views-to-orders rate, as the source estimates it
A vendor estimate, not a measured funnel. The right-hand bars are what good looks like in this segment. 575 of 1,059 listings carry this value; the rest are not drawn.
2057
1067 sellable · 965 to originate
33.8K
reviews across 25 of 27 niches
Niches with verified transactions
Etsy listings paired to the design index. Reviews are a floor on real sales — the only evidence of money anywhere on this page.
| Interestdownloads, not sales | Competitionalready selling | Transactionsverified buyers | Forecastunits / 3mo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| phone-stand | 1.3M | 41 | $45 | 6.5K | — |
| controller-stand | — | 49 | $52 | 5.1K | — |
| headphone-stand | 790K | 36 | $61 | 2.7K | — |
| dice-tower | 482K | 43 | $42 | 2.5K | — |
| tool-holder | 388.1K | 50 | $62 | 2.4K | — |
| desk-organizer | 296.7K | 41 | $87 | 2.3K | — |
Downloads come from Thingiverse and reviews from Etsy. They are different platforms measuring different acts, so they sit in separate columns and are never added together.